My feeble attempts to understand the impact that debt has on the real economy as debt payments (aka "the suck") grow so large that the economy can't sustain them anymore. Like now.

Monday, June 21, 2010

No Credit Crunch

Gene Epstein writes in the March 1, 2010 issue of Barron's:

All we have are figures on the stock of consumer and business debt, from which inferences about a credit crunch have been drawn. But while credit-crunchists cite no direct data on new credit extensions, economist and statistician Jason Benderly of Benderly Economics has been able to approximate the various flows in a way that works surprisingly well. His findings are plausible and straightforward.

The Stock of Credit and the Credit-Crunch Fallacy